Cost-effectiveness of HLA-B*1502 genotyping in adult patients with newly diagnosed epilepsy in Singapore
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Abstract
Objective: Asians who carry the HLA-B*1502 allele have an elevated risk of developing Stevens-Johnson syndrome (SJS) and toxic epidermal necrolysis (TEN) when treated with the antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) carbamazepine (CBZ) and phenytoin (PHT). With a focus on Singapore, this analysis identifies circumstances in which genotyping and targeted treatment with alternative AEDs that do not induce SJS/TEN is likely to be more cost-effective than 1) treatment with CBZ or PHT without genotyping or 2) providing a more expensive drug that does not induce SJS/TEN to all patients without genotyping.
Methods: A decision tree model was developed in TreeAge. The model takes into account costs of epilepsy treatments and genotyping, reductions in quality of life and increased costs resulting from SJS/TEN complications, the prevalence of the risk allele, the positive predictive value (PPV) of genotyping, life expectancy, and other factors.
Results: Compared with no genotyping and providing CBZ to all, genotyping results in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $37,030/quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for Chinese patients, $7,930/QALY for Malays, and $136,630/QALY for Indians in Singapore.
Conclusions: Because of the different population allele frequencies of HLA-B*1502 among different ethnic groups, genotyping for HLA-B*1502 and providing alternate AEDs to those who test positive is cost-effective for Singaporean Chinese and Malays, but not for Singaporean Indians. Population frequency of HLA-B*1502, PPV, duration of treatment relative to life expectancy, and costs of alternative drugs are the key drivers influencing cost-effectiveness.
GLOSSARY
- CBZ=
- carbamazepine;
- ICER=
- incremental cost-effectiveness ratio;
- NPV=
- negative predictive value;
- PHT=
- phenytoin;
- PPV=
- positive predictive value;
- QALY=
- quality-adjusted life year;
- QoL=
- quality of life;
- SF=
- seizure-free;
- SJS=
- Stevens-Johnson syndrome;
- TEN=
- toxic epidermal necrolysis;
- VPA=
- valproate
Footnotes
Study funding: Supported by a Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School internal grant.
Supplemental data at www.neurology.org
- Received November 30, 2011.
- Accepted May 1, 2012.
- Copyright © 2012 by AAN Enterprises, Inc.
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Letters: Rapid online correspondence
- Re:HLA-B*1502 genotyping for preventing phenytoin-induced Stevens-Johnson syndrome and toxic epidermal necrolysis ?
- Di Dong, PhD candidate, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singaporedong_di87@nus.edu.sg
- Cynthia Sung, Singapore; Eric Andrew Finkelstein, Singapore.
Submitted November 13, 2012 - HLA-B*1502 genotyping for preventing phenytoin-induced Stevens-Johnson syndrome and toxic epidermal necrolysis ?
- Shuen-Iu Hung, Institute of Pharmacology, School of Medicine, Infection and Immunity Research Center, VYM Genome Resihung@ym.edu.tw
- Wen-Hung Chung, Shuen-Iu Hung, Taipei, Taiwan
Submitted November 07, 2012
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