This article requires a subscription to view the full text. If you have a subscription you may use the login form below to view the article. Access to this article can also be purchased.
Abstract
Objective: Few spatial cluster analyses of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) incidence have been conducted on prospective incident population-based cohorts; we report results of a formal cluster analysis of the Irish ALS cohort from January 1, 1995, to December 31, 2013.
Methods: We identified 1,684 incident cases from the Irish ALS register. Population data from 4 census years were used to calculate age- and sex-standardized expected ALS cases for 3,355 areas. Spatial cluster analysis was performed to identify high-risk clusters using both SaTScan and FleXScan software. Poisson-based, time period–stratified statistics and time-stratified Bayesian smoothed risk mapping were used to audit completeness of case ascertainment of the register.
Results: No significant high-risk clusters of incident ALS were identified. However, SaTScan revealed 2 significant areas of lower-than-average ALS risk—one centered on County Kilkenny (relative risk 0.53, p = 0.012) and a smaller area in County Clare (relative risk 0.0, p = 0.029). Audit of case ascertainment did not indicate any failure to detect cases in these areas.
Conclusions: The absence of high-risk ALS clusters in Ireland contrasts with previous studies. Our study has several advantages, notably the use of a long-running prospective ALS register with nationwide case ascertainment. The presence of 2 low-risk areas was unexpected. No obvious ascertainment, demographic, or common environmental factors explain this finding. However, we postulate that historical factors may have led to altered genetic admixture in these regions, possibly contributing to lower rates.
GLOSSARY
- ALS=
- amyotrophic lateral sclerosis;
- ASCII=
- American Standard Code for Information Interchange;
- BMAA=
- β-methylamino-l-alanine;
- ED=
- electoral division;
- INLA=
- Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation;
- RR=
- relative risk
Footnotes
Go to Neurology.org for full disclosures. Funding information and disclosures deemed relevant by the authors, if any, are provided at the end of the article.
Supplemental data at Neurology.org
- Received September 30, 2014.
- Accepted in final form November 24, 2014.
- © 2015 American Academy of Neurology
AAN Members
We have changed the login procedure to improve access between AAN.com and the Neurology journals. If you are experiencing issues, please log out of AAN.com and clear history and cookies. (For instructions by browser, please click the instruction pages below). After clearing, choose preferred Journal and select login for AAN Members. You will be redirected to a login page where you can log in with your AAN ID number and password. When you are returned to the Journal, your name should appear at the top right of the page.
AAN Non-Member Subscribers
Purchase access
Letters: Rapid online correspondence
- Spatial Clustering of ALS in Ireland: Response to Bradley et al.
- Re: Rooney et al. Spatial cluster analysis of population ALS risk in Ireland. Neurology 2015;84:1537-1544.
REQUIREMENTS
You must ensure that your Disclosures have been updated within the previous six months. Please go to our Submission Site to add or update your Disclosure information.
Your co-authors must send a completed Publishing Agreement Form to Neurology Staff (not necessary for the lead/corresponding author as the form below will suffice) before you upload your comment.
If you are responding to a comment that was written about an article you originally authored:
You (and co-authors) do not need to fill out forms or check disclosures as author forms are still valid
and apply to letter.
Submission specifications:
- Submissions must be < 200 words with < 5 references. Reference 1 must be the article on which you are commenting.
- Submissions should not have more than 5 authors. (Exception: original author replies can include all original authors of the article)
- Submit only on articles published within 6 months of issue date.
- Do not be redundant. Read any comments already posted on the article prior to submission.
- Submitted comments are subject to editing and editor review prior to posting.
You May Also be Interested in
Hastening the Diagnosis of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis
Dr. Brian Callaghan and Dr. Kellen Quigg