% 0期刊文章% Myriam M.G. Hunink蒂姆•亚尼克耐腐蚀合金% %一个鲁本Dammers % Adriaan C.G.M. van Es %一个詹姆斯·f·伯克维克多Volovici % % Femke林祖嘉克雷默%一个Diederik j•因为%鲍勃Roozenbeek % T监测未破裂颅内动脉瘤% B成本效益分析三个国家% D R 10.1212 / WNL 2022%。0000000000200785 % J首页神经病学% P e890-e903 % V 99% N 9% X背景和目标不存在共识足够保守的监测管理未破裂颅内动脉瘤(uia)。我们旨在确定最佳MRI监测策略的发展建设史的使用成本效益分析。第二个目标是开发一个临床个体化UIA监视的工具。方法从医疗的角度我们设计了一个微观分析模拟模型模拟100000年55岁的女性估计成本和质量调整生命年(qaly)一生地平线在美国,英国,荷兰,使用literature-derived模型参数。具体国家的成本和愿意支付的阈值(100000美元/美国QALY,£30000 / QALY英国、荷兰和€80000 / QALY)。生命周期成本和qaly每年以3%的折扣对于美国,英国为3.5%,或4%(成本)和1.5% (qaly)荷兰。策略没有后续监测、随访MRI在第一和第五年UIA发现后,每隔5年,每2年,每年或直接干预(即。、剪辑或卷)。利用微观分析模拟模型,我们开发了一个个性化的工具UIA监测为男性和女性,不同年龄和不同动脉瘤的特征。输入参数的不确定性和概率敏感性分析建模。结果在55岁的女性中,2222人在美国,自1910年至2040年在英国,荷兰每年需要进行MRI扫描,防止1例蛛网膜下腔出血。 No surveillance MRI was most cost-effective in the United States (in 47% of the simulations) and United Kingdom (in 54% of simulations), whereas annual MRI was most cost-effective in the Netherlands (in 53% of simulations). In the United States and United Kingdom, annual surveillance or surveillance in the first and fifth year after discovery was cost-effective in patients <60 years and at increased risk of aneurysm growth. The optimal, personalized, surveillance strategies were summarized in a look-up table for use in clinical practice.Discussion Generally, the US and UK physicians should refrain from assigning patients, particularly older patients and those with few risk factors for aneurysm growth or rupture, to frequent MRI surveillance. In the Netherlands, annual follow-up is generally most cost-effective.AHA=American Heart Association; ARR=absolute risk reduction; ASA=American Stroke Association; CEAC=cost-effectiveness acceptability curve; CTA=CT angiography; ELAPSS=Earlier subarachnoid hemorrhage, aneurysm Location, Age, Population, aneurysm Size, and Shape; EVT=endovascular treatment; ICER=incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; ISUIA=International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms; MRA=magnetic resonance angiography; PSA=probabilistic sensitivity analysis; QALY=quality-adjusted life year; SAH=subarachnoid hemorrhage; UIA=unruptured intracranial aneurysm; WTP=willingness-to-pay %U //www.ez-admanager.com/content/neurology/99/9/e890.full.pdf