The Role of Optical Coherence Tomography Criteria and Machine Learning in Multiple Sclerosis and Optic Neuritis Diagnosis
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Abstract
Background and Objectives Recent studies have suggested that intereye differences (IEDs) in peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer (pRNFL) or ganglion cell + inner plexiform (GCIPL) thickness by spectral domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT) may identify people with a history of unilateral optic neuritis (ON). However, this requires further validation. Machine learning classification may be useful for validating thresholds for OCT IEDs and for examining added utility for visual function tests, such as low-contrast letter acuity (LCLA), in the diagnosis of people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) and for unilateral ON history.
Methods Participants were from 11 sites within the International Multiple Sclerosis Visual System consortium. pRNFL and GCIPL thicknesses were measured using SD-OCT. A composite score combining OCT and visual measures was compared individual measurements to determine the best model to distinguish PwMS from controls. These methods were also used to distinguish those with a history of ON among PwMS. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed on a training data set (2/3 of cohort) and then applied to a testing data set (1/3 of cohort). Support vector machine (SVM) analysis was used to assess whether machine learning models improved diagnostic capability of OCT.
Results Among 1,568 PwMS and 552 controls, variable selection models identified GCIPL IED, average GCIPL thickness (both eyes), and binocular 2.5% LCLA as most important for classifying PwMS vs controls. This composite score performed best, with area under the curve (AUC) = 0.89 (95% CI 0.85–0.93), sensitivity = 81%, and specificity = 80%. The composite score ROC curve performed better than any of the individual measures from the model (p < 0.0001). GCIPL IED remained the best single discriminator of unilateral ON history among PwMS (AUC = 0.77, 95% CI 0.71–0.83, sensitivity = 68%, specificity = 77%). SVM analysis performed comparably with standard logistic regression models.
Discussion A composite score combining visual structure and function improved the capacity of SD-OCT to distinguish PwMS from controls. GCIPL IED best distinguished those with a history of unilateral ON. SVM performed as well as standard statistical models for these classifications.
Classification of Evidence This study provides Class III evidence that SD-OCT accurately distinguishes multiple sclerosis from normal controls as compared with clinical criteria.
Glossary
- AUC=
- area under the curve;
- CART=
- classification and regression tree;
- ETDRS=
- Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study;
- GCIPL=
- ganglion cell inner + plexiform layer;
- HCVA=
- high-contrast visual acuity;
- IED=
- intereye difference;
- LCLA=
- low-contrast letter acuity;
- MLC=
- machine learning classifier;
- ON=
- optic neuritis;
- pRNFL=
- peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer;
- PwMS=
- people with multiple sclerosis;
- ROC=
- receiver operating characteristic;
- SD-OCT=
- spectral domain optical coherence tomography;
- SVM=
- support vector machine
Footnotes
Go to Neurology.org/N for full disclosures. Funding information and disclosures deemed relevant by the authors, if any, are provided at the end of the article.
Submitted and externally peer reviewed. The handling editor was Olga Ciccarelli, MD, PhD, FRCP.
Editorial, page 453
Class of Evidence: NPub.org/coe
- Received September 29, 2021.
- Accepted in final form May 11, 2022.
- © 2022 American Academy of Neurology
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