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State-specific estimates of1 urrent and future prevalence of Alzheimer disease (AD) are necessary for state planning because states vary greatly in population age structures, which determine disease prevalence.1 We calculated prevalence rates using AD incidence estimates from a population study2 of a geographically defined biracial (black and white) community of Chicago, National Center for Health Statistics data,3 and US Census Bureau Data. We used data from the 2000 census4 for 2000 estimates and state-specific mortality and population projections5 corresponding to middle-series estimates for the national population for future years. This approach is similar to that used for previous estimates and projections of nationwide prevalence of AD.6,7⇓
Current numbers of people with AD in each state depend strongly on total population size and proportion of the population affected. The latter, in turn, depends on the proportion of the total population in older age groups. Of seven states with ≥200,000 persons affected by AD …
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